HMC
HMC CAPLTD FPO [HMC]
Real Estate · ASX Small Cap
$2.2900 -1.7%
Updated 26 Mar 2026 · Scores refresh every scan
Score Breakdown
Technical59
Catalyst67
Sentiment50
Fundamental52
Momentum36
Risk Gate32
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Active Signals
Bullish Signals
- RSI drifting toward oversold territory — worth watching
- MACD momentum is picking up steam
- Bollinger Bands are tightening — volatility is coiling up for a potential breakout
- Volatility is contracting — like a spring being compressed, breakouts often follow
- Adequate cash runway (7 quarters)
- Low P/S ratio (4.5x)
- Revenue in sharp decline (-21%)
- EPS estimates revised upward (+10pts)
- Near 52-week low (1% of range)
- New substantial holder(s) (1)
- Substantial holder(s) ceased (1)
- Elevated short interest (6.1%)
- Earnings in sharp decline (-90% QoQ)
- CANSLIM A: Moderate annual earnings growth (24%)
- CANSLIM I: Institutional ownership (15%)
- Sentiment is mixed — no strong consensus either way
- Earnings are trending the right way — 2 consecutive improvements
- Altman Z-Score distress zone (0.75 < 1.81, low-confidence approx)
- Days to cover very high (10.0)
- Beneish M-Score -1.25 > -1.78: likely earnings manipulation
- RBA hiking (-5pts)
Risk Signals
- Trading below both moving averages — the trend is working against this one
- Below the 200-day average — the long-term trend is still working against it
- Piotroski F-Score weak (2/9, low-confidence approx)
- Post-earnings drift: negative surprise (SUE -10)
- Negative profit margins (-1%)
- Not enough chatter to gauge sentiment — defaulting to neutral
- Long-term momentum is negative — down 44% over the past year
- Revenue declining at -21% — the top line is shrinking
- The bigger volume days are the down days — volume-weighted momentum is negative (-1.73%/day)
- Overseas neutral (-1pts, S&P500 neutral, VIX 25)
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Recent Catalysts
HIGH Ceasing to be a Substantial Holder from HMC
HIGH Becoming a substantial holder
NONE Appendix 3Y - Fiona Pak-Poy
NONE Appendix 3Y - Christopher Roberts
NONE Appendix 3Y - Susan Roberts
Announcement tone +3pts
Recent ASX Announcements
| 2026-03-12 | Ceasing to be a Substantial Holder from HMC |
| 2026-03-10 | Becoming a substantial holder |
| 2026-02-25 | Appendix 3Y - Fiona Pak-Poy |
| 2026-02-25 | Appendix 3Y - Christopher Roberts |
| 2026-02-25 | Appendix 3Y - Susan Roberts |
Key Metrics
$947.0M
Market Cap
2.5M
Avg Volume
0.7x
Vol Ratio
$2.24 — $7.28
52-Week Range
6.1%
Short Interest
N/A
Cash Runway
-0.2%
ROE
-1.2%
Profit Margin
CANSLIM Analysis
| Factor | Rating | Detail | |
|---|---|---|---|
| C | Current EPS | fail | EPS Growth: -90% |
| A | Annual Earnings | weak | CAGR: 24% |
| N | New Highs / Catalysts | neutral | |
| S | Supply & Demand | neutral | Float: 62% |
| L | Leader vs Laggard | laggard | RS: -9 |
| I | Institutional Sponsorship | pass | Inst: 14% |
| M | Market Direction | neutral | Neutral |
Sector: Real Estate
Ranked #35 of 43 · Sector avg: 44
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