BAP
BAPCOR LTD FPO [BAP]
Consumer Cyclical · ASX Small Cap
$0.6350 -0.8%
Updated 26 Mar 2026 · Scores refresh every scan
Score Breakdown
Technical74
Catalyst69
Sentiment50
Fundamental72
Momentum27
Risk Gate46
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Active Signals
Bullish Signals
- RSI is looking oversold — historically a spot where stocks tend to bounce
- MACD momentum is picking up steam
- Bollinger Bands are tightening — volatility is coiling up for a potential breakout
- Lagging the Small Ords index — relative strength of 0.82, underperforming its peers
- Volume-price trend says buyers are quietly accumulating — price hasn't caught up yet
- Volatility is contracting — like a spring being compressed, breakouts often follow
- Cash positive / operating cashflow positive
- Low P/S ratio (0.2x)
- EPS estimates revised upward (+10pts)
- Near 52-week low (1% of range)
- Substantial holder(s) ceased (1)
- Rights issue announced - significant dilution
- Elevated short interest (9.0%)
- CANSLIM S: Tight float (45%)
- CANSLIM I: Institutional ownership (78%)
- Sentiment is mixed — no strong consensus either way
- This one has been in freefall — down 83% over the past year
- Poor risk-adjusted returns — Sharpe of -2.8 means lots of volatility for not much reward
- Altman Z-Score grey zone (2.16, low-confidence approx)
- RBA hiking (-5pts)
- Dilution risk: technical breakout with recent capital raise
- Technical-fundamental alignment: quality + trend
Risk Signals
- Below the 200-day average — the long-term trend is still working against it
- Piotroski F-Score weak (2/9, low-confidence approx)
- Negative profit margins (-6%)
- Not enough chatter to gauge sentiment — defaulting to neutral
- The bigger volume days are the down days — volume-weighted momentum is negative (-3.75%/day)
- Overseas neutral (-1pts, S&P500 neutral, VIX 25)
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Recent Catalysts
NONE Application for quotation of securities - BAP
NONE Change in substantial holding
NONE Bapcor Completes Retail Entitlement Offer
HIGH Ceasing to be a substantial holder
Recent ASX Announcements
| 2026-03-25 | Application for quotation of securities - BAP |
| 2026-03-25 | Ceasing to be a substantial holder |
| 2026-03-24 | Change in substantial holding |
| 2026-03-23 | Bapcor Completes Retail Entitlement Offer PRICE SENSITIVE |
| 2026-03-16 | Change in substantial holding |
Key Metrics
$381.2M
Market Cap
13.1M
Avg Volume
0.8x
Vol Ratio
$0.60 — $5.42
52-Week Range
9.0%
Short Interest
N/A
Cash Runway
-14.1%
ROE
-6.0%
Profit Margin
CANSLIM Analysis
| Factor | Rating | Detail | |
|---|---|---|---|
| C | Current EPS | fail | EPS Growth: 0% |
| A | Annual Earnings | fail | CAGR: 0% |
| N | New Highs / Catalysts | neutral | |
| S | Supply & Demand | pass | Float: 45% |
| L | Leader vs Laggard | laggard | RS: -15 |
| I | Institutional Sponsorship | pass | Inst: 78% |
| M | Market Direction | neutral | Neutral |
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Ranked #59 of 68 · Sector avg: 46
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